PolyBot

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Traders

makeadream

0x8d19a9a13f48588865f0743e3d2db64bf325be54

Realised P&L
$-2.9k
Volume
$1.99M
Markets traded
231
Open portfolio
$2.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded231
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration48.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration99.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? · No0.8820.945$2.2k+$147.22
Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes0.0480.047$22.93$0.55

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-01 06:29Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?SELL0.15$231.57
09-01 03:58Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?SELL0.15$147.69
09-01 03:57Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?SELL0.15$182.34
09-01 03:54Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?SELL0.16$241.17
08-28 09:17Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?SELL0.13$118.92
08-04 03:56Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?SELL0.08$122.45
07-24 15:22Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?SELL0.16$162.57
07-24 07:12NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.18$7.60
07-24 07:10Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?SELL0.08$5.60
07-20 17:22NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.21$27.83
07-20 10:37NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.15$19.88
07-16 18:37Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?SELL0.09$2.3k
07-13 20:06NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.17$0.36
07-12 19:38Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?BUY0.06$0.30
07-07 21:52Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.47$88.68