PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

bermyd

0x8d15a872e8b0f9d895bcd2cefc511a09ae4c5a77

Realised P&L
$-23.83
Volume
$2.9k
Markets traded
53
Open portfolio
$1.47

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded53
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample49 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? · Yes0.6370.158$0.79−$2.40
Will Frosinone qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League? · Yes0.0320.038$0.34+$0.05
Will Ethereum hit $6k by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0430.029$0.17−$0.08
Will FC Barcelona qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Conference League? · Yes0.0550.013$0.17−$0.54
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election? · Yes0.5300.001$0.00−$2.65
Will GTE launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0320.000$0.00−$2.28
Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in September 2026? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00−$1.04
Will Umia launch a token by October 31, 2026? · No0.0210.000$0.00−$1.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-20 16:46Will Cambria launch a token by June 30, 2027?SELL0.015$0.45
08-20 16:46Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?SELL0.143$0.71
08-20 16:46Will the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?SELL0.04$0.80
08-20 16:46Will the Democratic Party win the IA-03 House seat?SELL0.25$1.25
08-20 16:46Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of August 2026?SELL0.064$1.28
08-20 16:46Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?SELL0.057$1.14
08-20 16:46Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?SELL0.32$2.56
08-20 16:46Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Sergipe?SELL0.04$4.00
08-20 04:31Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 20 and 23 inclusive?SELL0.445$8.90
08-19 16:15Will Alexander Vindman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?SELL0.999$4.99