bigstackss
0x8d116ee32cea4550ab4019eb469999e60bf35c25
- Realised P&L
- $-301.20
- Volume
- $186.6k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $2.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$189.29at 0.073Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$73.33at 0.120Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?
- +$46.30at 0.026Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$20.30at 0.330Will Trump say "SNAP" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?
- +$2.76at 0.490US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 01:28 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.3399999993 | $130.00 |
| 10-28 01:27 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.08 | $123.45 |
| 10-28 01:16 | Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0299999999 | $10.00 |
| 06-02 17:09 | Will Nithya Raman finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.0832036551 | $26.69 |
| 06-02 17:05 | Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.017 | $28.80 |
| 06-02 17:02 | Will Nithya Raman finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.0825387836 | $9.00 |
| 06-02 17:02 | Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.017 | $9.70 |
| 06-02 17:00 | Will Nithya Raman finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.0808552286 | $28.42 |
| 06-02 16:59 | Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.017 | $29.99 |
| 06-02 16:55 | Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.2081282877 | $116.79 |
| 06-02 16:55 | Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL | 0.19 | $124.50 |
| 06-02 15:54 | Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.2012400225 | $131.87 |
| 06-02 15:53 | Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.017 | $136.31 |
| 05-15 06:28 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.2199999988 | $139.50 |
| 05-15 06:26 | Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.0349762042 | $149.17 |