PolyBot

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Traders

Itch166

0x8d0d6d9552e046ec6bba135bbdbed033d4d3982a

Realised P&L
$-205.18
Volume
$2.4k
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$130.22

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-8.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)12.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? · Yes0.2050.070$69.38$135.51
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? · Yes0.6701.000$60.84+$20.08

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-31 05:40Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?BUY0.8342622871$14.54
03-31 05:07Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?BUY0.6099999854$10.48
03-31 04:52Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?BUY0.6$15.74
03-31 03:18Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?BUY0.2065843488$200.89
03-31 03:16Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?BUY0.1549999709$4.00
06-16 21:03Oilers vs. PanthersBUY0.4199999973$34.80
06-16 21:02OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?SELL0.31$33.96
05-06 15:51OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?BUY0.4399999736$8.00
05-06 15:50OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?BUY0.4377020611$40.00
04-29 18:32Will the Conservative Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?SELL0.002$0.23
04-29 18:32Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?SELL0.901$9.45
04-29 15:59Will the Liberal Party win by 1–24 seats?SELL0.3059782626$38.71
04-29 06:12Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?BUY0.952999999$10.00
04-29 05:37Will the Conservative Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?BUY0.01$1.00
04-29 05:25Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?SELL0.004$0.69