bnhg9568
0x8d0ce1e818665134e0ff01e2452b631d1e46e81f
- Realised P&L
- $32.24
- Volume
- $20.3k
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $1.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will August be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? · Yes | 0.783 | 0.829 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $65 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.790 | 0.275 | $0.35 | −$0.65 |
| Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies · Grizzlies | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Incarnate Word Cardinals · Incarnate Word Cardinals | 0.231 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Campbell Fighting Camels vs. Stony Brook Seawolves · Stony Brook Seawolves | 0.433 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Cavaliers vs. Magic · Cavaliers | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $122K and $124K on August 20? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.50 |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025? · Yes | 0.043 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.70 |
| Will Brisbane Roar FC win on 2026-03-21? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Pelicans vs. Suns · Pelicans | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Georgia State Panthers vs. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns · Georgia State Panthers | 0.521 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$56.67at 0.150Senators vs. Oilers
- +$30.52at 0.256Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027?
- +$21.48at 0.482North Carolina Central Eagles vs. Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks
- +$9.47at 0.760Mavericks vs. Magic
- +$8.56at 0.921Rider Broncs vs. Siena Saints
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-04 03:45 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $65 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899995339 | $1.00 |
| 08-31 15:29 | Will August be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.7829999577 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 04:40 | Canadian Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Nuno Borges | BUY | 0.7599993312 | $1.00 |
| 07-25 07:12 | ITF Ollersbach: Andrej Martin vs Mathys Erhard | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 06-28 08:50 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.4599997608 | $1.00 |
| 05-31 05:39 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May? | BUY | 0.995 | $5.00 |
| 05-16 06:37 | Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027? | BUY | 0.2435911177 | $10.00 |
| 04-29 06:00 | Knicks vs. Hawks | BUY | 0.5599999776 | $5.00 |
| 04-13 02:50 | Utah vs. Flames | BUY | 0.8799999859 | $5.00 |
| 03-15 08:30 | Will Brisbane Roar FC win on 2026-03-21? | BUY | 0.4899999804 | $5.00 |
| 03-15 08:29 | Mavericks vs. Bucks | SELL | 0.64 | $12.80 |
| 03-10 07:50 | Cavaliers vs. Magic | BUY | 0.6199999628 | $5.00 |
| 03-07 05:17 | Campbell Fighting Camels vs. Stony Brook Seawolves | BUY | 0.4313725442 | $29.74 |
| 03-07 05:16 | Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.983 | $1.1k |
| 03-07 04:59 | Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.984 | $1.1k |