0x8d06b6a4e4b4f96a8bbff073e284358ef7e1f00f
0x8d06b6a4e4b4f96a8bbff073e284358ef7e1f00f
- Realised P&L
- $-164.74
- Volume
- $22.7k
- Markets traded
- 603
- Open portfolio
- $161.11
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded603
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration2.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Valencia CF win on 2026-10-11? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.325 | $4.33 | +$0.33 |
| Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5) · Real Betis Balompié | 0.350 | 0.375 | $4.29 | +$0.29 |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? · No | 0.600 | 0.635 | $4.23 | +$0.23 |
| Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-2.5) · BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 0.280 | 0.295 | $4.21 | +$0.21 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-11? · No | 0.630 | 0.655 | $4.16 | +$0.16 |
| Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5) · BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 0.490 | 0.505 | $4.12 | +$0.12 |
| Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-11? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.635 | $4.10 | +$0.10 |
| Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5) · FC Bayern München | 0.650 | 0.665 | $4.09 | +$0.09 |
| Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-10? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.415 | $4.05 | +$0.05 |
| Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-10-12? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.455 | $4.04 | +$0.04 |
| Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-10-11? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.595 | $4.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-10? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.605 | $4.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-10-10? · No | 0.650 | 0.655 | $4.03 | +$0.03 |
| Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5) · FC Internazionale Milano | 0.680 | 0.685 | $4.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-09? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.715 | $4.03 | +$0.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$37.34at 0.184Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-09-13?
- +$29.68at 0.258Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- +$26.46at 0.074Exact Score: Coventry City FC 0 - 1 Hull City AFC?
- +$26.46at 0.074Exact Score: RB Leipzig 3 - 0 Borussia Mönchengladbach?
- +$24.36at 0.147Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-04?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 14:48 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $4.00 |
| 10-07 17:33 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox | BUY | 0.4699999612 | $4.00 |
| 10-05 16:45 | Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-16? | SELL | 0.58 | $29.00 |
| 10-05 16:01 | Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.4 | $4.00 |
| 10-05 16:01 | Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-10-12? | BUY | 0.6299999764 | $4.00 |
| 10-05 16:01 | Spread: SS Lazio (-1.5) | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $4.00 |
| 10-05 16:00 | Will SS Lazio win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.6199999907 | $4.00 |
| 10-05 16:00 | Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.3699999935 | $4.00 |
| 10-05 16:00 | Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5) | BUY | 0.4499999944 | $4.00 |
| 10-05 16:00 | Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5) | BUY | 0.6799999932 | $4.00 |
| 10-05 15:59 | Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-10-12? | BUY | 0.4499999944 | $4.00 |
| 10-05 15:59 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.6299999764 | $4.00 |
| 10-05 15:59 | Will Everton FC win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $4.00 |
| 10-05 15:59 | Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.3699999935 | $4.00 |
| 10-05 15:58 | Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.3399999966 | $4.00 |