Striveforyourself
0x8d069f011be2e576f728853f61b55a63953bfdd1
- Realised P&L
- $-12.11
- Volume
- $17.9k
- Markets traded
- 70
- Open portfolio
- $289.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded70
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of August 10 above $130? · No | 0.999 | 0.996 | $119.46 | −$0.42 |
| Trump out as President by August 31? · No | 0.991 | 0.993 | $119.10 | +$0.18 |
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of August 10 above $0.50? · Yes | 0.999 | 0.507 | $50.70 | −$49.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$36.00at 0.910Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of April 20 above $420?
- +$10.61at 0.960Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in May?
- +$10.22at 0.937Will Ethena reach $0.20 in May?
- +$9.90at 0.830Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
- +$9.73at 0.988Will Ethena reach $0.20 in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 04:21 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of August 10 above $0.50? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 08-08 04:20 | Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of August 10 above $130? | BUY | 0.999 | $119.88 |
| 08-01 05:57 | Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of August 3 above $130? | BUY | 0.999 | $119.88 |
| 08-01 05:57 | Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of August 3 above $10? | BUY | 0.999 | $119.88 |
| 08-01 05:52 | Trump out as President by August 31? | BUY | 0.991 | $118.92 |
| 08-01 05:49 | Iran invades Kuwait by July 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $142.86 |
| 07-25 00:44 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.988 | $113.31 |
| 07-25 00:43 | Will XRP reach $3.00 in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $195.80 |
| 07-21 08:23 | Will NYC Mayor post 160-179 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $71.43 |
| 07-21 08:22 | Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $155.84 |
| 07-17 23:50 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of July 20 above $2.00? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 07-17 23:50 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of July 20 above $1.50? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 07-17 23:49 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of July 20 above $7.00? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 07-17 23:49 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of July 20 above $7.50? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 07-16 06:26 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of July 13 above $7.50? | BUY | 0.999 | $238.76 |