ckw888
0x8d014435172969b0b3a2476e5be17a9318270f69
- Realised P&L
- $976.99
- Volume
- $57.6k
- Markets traded
- 686
- Open portfolio
- $102.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded686
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$742.94at 0.354Games Total: O/U 4.5
- +$179.91at 0.510US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
- +$99.60at 0.170US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
- +$90.77at 0.442LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 3 Winner
- +$84.47at 0.472LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 12:41 | LoL: CyberCore Esports vs MVK Academy (BO3) - VCS Finals Playoffs | SELL | 0.53 | $2.65 |
| 09-24 12:39 | LoL: CyberCore Esports vs MVK Academy (BO3) - VCS Finals Playoffs | BUY | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 09-24 11:15 | LoL: Saigon Warriors vs 9Gaming (BO3) - VCS Finals Playoffs | SELL | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 11:08 | LoL: Saigon Warriors vs 9Gaming (BO3) - VCS Finals Playoffs | BUY | 0.31 | $31.00 |
| 09-23 14:04 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 24? | SELL | 0.106 | $8.16 |
| 09-23 11:20 | LoL: Solary vs ZSK (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group D | SELL | 0.22 | $10.00 |
| 09-23 11:12 | LoL: Solary vs ZSK (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group D | BUY | 0.6599999991 | $30.00 |
| 09-23 07:32 | LoL: ZSK vs Galions (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group D | SELL | 0.95 | $47.50 |
| 09-23 07:28 | LoL: ZSK vs Galions (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group D | BUY | 0.687 | $34.35 |
| 09-23 00:51 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 24? | BUY | 0.312 | $31.20 |
| 09-22 12:34 | LoL: Fuego vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group A | BUY | 0.799 | $79.90 |
| 09-22 08:05 | LoL: Fuego vs T1 Academy (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group A | BUY | 0.03 | $1.07 |
| 09-22 07:30 | LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group B | SELL | 0.93 | $9.10 |
| 09-22 07:24 | LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group B | BUY | 0.1595 | $15.95 |
| 09-21 13:26 | LoL: Solary vs Galions (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group D | SELL | 0.84 | $84.00 |