0x8CFf7B6fD35c4b55ad4bB2180a31Cf3b90d96C34-1763652210650
0x8cff7b6fd35c4b55ad4bb2180a31cf3b90d96c34
- Realised P&L
- $-208.26
- Volume
- $8.3k
- Markets traded
- 58
- Open portfolio
- $1.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded58
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$43.64at 0.184Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?
- +$39.58at 0.480Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?
- +$32.90at 0.450Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
- +$27.75at 0.231Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?
- +$25.37at 0.796Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12-28 23:15 | Will Henry Kissinger be named in newly released Epstein files? | BUY | 0.1339999896 | $10.00 |
| 12-28 23:09 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.0569999894 | $5.00 |
| 12-28 23:09 | Lighter Airdrop on December 29? | BUY | 0.5223311242 | $50.00 |
| 12-28 23:06 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.25 | $30.00 |
| 12-28 23:05 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.83 |
| 12-28 23:05 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.23 | $28.75 |
| 12-28 23:05 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.7821023862 | $74.40 |
| 12-28 23:04 | U.S. Congress member out over Epstein files by April 30? | SELL | 0.157052 | $7.85 |
| 12-15 15:17 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4199999934 | $32.00 |
| 12-15 15:16 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.82 | $32.80 |
| 12-15 15:16 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4199999899 | $10.00 |
| 12-13 23:38 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.0659999883 | $5.00 |
| 12-13 23:38 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4 | $10.00 |
| 12-13 23:35 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7399999959 | $40.00 |
| 12-13 23:34 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7399999975 | $60.00 |