MarbleTech
0x8cfb5394175c34b2cb3dd049d00879ccac026925
- Realised P&L
- $13.47
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 252
- Open portfolio
- $9.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded252
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Commanders (-5.5) · Eagles | 0.460 | 0.495 | $4.46 | +$0.32 |
| Bears vs. Seahawks · Seahawks | 0.620 | 0.615 | $3.14 | −$0.03 |
| Patriots vs. Dolphins: O/U 44.5 · Over | 0.480 | 0.150 | $1.35 | −$2.97 |
| Spread: Patriots (-7.5) · Patriots | 0.440 | 0.065 | $0.39 | −$2.25 |
| Spread: Spurs (-8.5) · 76ers | 0.518 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.06 |
| Spread: Steelers (-7.5) · Steelers | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.17 |
| Patriots vs. Jaguars: O/U 52.5 · Over | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.03 |
| Patriots vs. Bills: O/U 50.5 · Under | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.77 |
| Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) · Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.488 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.88 |
| Spread: Spurs (-4.5) · Clippers | 0.518 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.57 |
| Spread: Nuggets (-22.5) · Nuggets | 0.508 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Spread: Patriots (-3.5) · Jets | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.06 |
| Packers vs. Jets: O/U 45.5 · Over | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.22 |
| Bengals vs. Ravens: O/U 48.5 · Over | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.57 |
| Spread: Packers (-7.5) · Cowboys | 0.770 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.25at 0.187Spread: Raiders (-3.5)
- +$11.67at 0.167Spread: Devils (-2.5)
- +$8.48at 0.470Spread: Pacers (-6.5)
- +$8.41at 0.235Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)
- +$7.58at 0.310Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 01:08 | Raiders vs. Jets: O/U 46.5 | BUY | 0.48 | $2.88 |
| 11-01 01:01 | Spread: Lions (-10.5) | BUY | 0.75 | $3.75 |
| 10-31 21:54 | Spread: 76ers (-1.5) | BUY | 0.49 | $2.94 |
| 10-31 21:51 | Spread: Browns (-3.5) | BUY | 0.76 | $3.80 |
| 10-31 20:43 | Spread: Blue Jackets (-2.5) | BUY | 0.11 | $2.09 |
| 10-31 19:04 | Spread: Spurs (-13.5) | BUY | 0.44 | $3.08 |
| 10-31 13:39 | Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5) | BUY | 0.54 | $2.70 |
| 10-30 16:33 | Falcons vs. Buccaneers: O/U 44.5 | BUY | 0.46 | $2.76 |
| 10-30 13:10 | Spread: Commanders (-5.5) | BUY | 0.46 | $4.14 |
| 10-30 11:38 | Spread: Pistons (-7.5) | BUY | 0.51 | $4.08 |
| 10-30 11:38 | Spread: Heat (-8.5) | BUY | 0.51 | $5.10 |
| 10-30 01:23 | Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5) | BUY | 0.51 | $3.57 |
| 10-29 05:54 | Panthers vs. Packers: O/U 46.5 | BUY | 0.46 | $3.22 |
| 10-28 13:39 | Spread: Kraken (-2.5) | BUY | 0.17 | $2.55 |
| 10-28 04:50 | Spread: Thunder (-6.5) | BUY | 0.51 | $3.06 |