serially
0x8cfaf8554dceb75ac7ed16f57c0ee123cc83bbbb
- Realised P&L
- $-175.70
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $35.43
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration65.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)77.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-19? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.345 | $35.43 | −$2.57 |
| Exact Score: Canada 1 - 3 Morocco? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.36 |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-04? · No | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.48 |
| Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Morocco? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$41.26 |
| Will Canada win on 2026-07-04? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.80 |
| Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 3 France? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.73 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$107.25at 0.480Hawks vs. Wizards: O/U 236.5
- +$28.86at 0.296Spread: Morocco (-1.5)
- +$23.68at 0.760Will Millwall FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC end in a draw?
- +$4.71at 0.680Will Torino FC vs. US Lecce end in a draw?
- +$0.01at 0.998Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 14:10 | Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-19? | BUY | 0.3699999989 | $38.00 |
| 07-04 13:33 | Spread: Morocco (-1.5) | BUY | 0.29 | $11.89 |
| 07-04 13:24 | Exact Score: Canada 1 - 3 Morocco? | BUY | 0.06 | $6.36 |
| 07-04 13:23 | Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Morocco? | BUY | 0.1199999849 | $6.35 |
| 07-04 13:18 | Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Morocco? | BUY | 0.1199999923 | $12.50 |
| 07-04 13:17 | Will Canada win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.1699999917 | $13.90 |
| 07-04 13:17 | Will Canada win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.1699999917 | $13.90 |
| 07-04 13:16 | Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Morocco? | BUY | 0.12 | $7.41 |
| 07-04 13:10 | Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Morocco? | BUY | 0.12 | $15.00 |
| 07-04 12:29 | Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 3 France? | BUY | 0.139999998 | $50.73 |
| 06-04 19:20 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-04? | BUY | 0.2299999905 | $14.48 |
| 03-24 08:43 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in March 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.00 |
| 03-02 06:35 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | SELL | 0.999 | $15.01 |
| 02-26 14:39 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.998 | $15.00 |
| 02-01 06:19 | Will Torino FC vs. US Lecce end in a draw? | BUY | 0.6799999946 | $10.00 |