sdwsdr
0x8cfa7c89d0c5e400dec0124e0cac0fe3e06f19e0
- Realised P&L
- $-31.54
- Volume
- $4.8k
- Markets traded
- 60
- Open portfolio
- $25.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded60
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.315 | $25.20 | +$5.20 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.709 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.26at 0.783Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?
- +$9.00at 0.361Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?
- +$4.98at 0.924Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?
- +$4.77at 0.210Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?
- +$4.27at 0.682Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 11:37 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 09:57 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $10.00 |
| 10-31 22:54 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026? | SELL | 0.29 | $13.90 |
| 10-31 22:17 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $2.97 |
| 10-30 16:24 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $4.00 |
| 10-30 10:15 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7089999766 | $5.00 |
| 10-30 09:02 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 07:41 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.2754098144 | $3.00 |
| 10-30 07:32 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.269999993 | $10.00 |
| 10-30 07:32 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $5.00 |
| 10-30 05:29 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.41 | $8.54 |
| 10-30 01:00 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999821 | $6.00 |
| 10-27 05:25 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999923 | $5.00 |
| 10-26 14:55 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.31 | $14.76 |
| 10-26 07:13 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026? | SELL | 0.33 | $1.37 |