Meda-999
0x8cf9cc542be5f89601e64d1c69410b9c8d566b39
- Realised P&L
- $-7.75
- Volume
- $12.4k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $0.78
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration66.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Printr FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.890 | 0.350 | $0.78 | −$1.20 |
| Will 'Moana 2' gross less than $135m on 5-day opening weekend? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.67at 0.540September temperature increase by between 1.23-1.28°C?
- +$0.82at 0.840Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?
- +$0.55at 0.530Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?
- +$-0.25at 0.004Will Deandre Ayton lead the NBA in Rebounds?
- +$-0.25at 0.004Will Joel Embiid lead the NBA in Rebounds?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-27 14:36 | Printr FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8899999555 | $1.97 |
| 04-27 14:36 | Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.82 | $1.54 |
| 03-31 20:55 | Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 03-31 20:55 | Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5299998781 | $1.00 |
| 01-17 10:12 | Will Devin Booker lead the NBA in scoring? | SELL | 0.002 | $3.33 |
| 01-16 11:09 | Will Devin Booker lead the NBA in scoring? | BUY | 0.003 | $5.00 |
| 01-16 11:08 | Will Stephen Curry lead the NBA in scoring? | SELL | 0.002 | $3.03 |
| 01-15 11:18 | Will Stephen Curry lead the NBA in scoring? | BUY | 0.0032976049 | $5.00 |
| 01-15 11:17 | Will Damian Lillard lead the NBA in Assists? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.67 |
| 01-15 11:17 | Will Joel Embiid lead the NBA in Rebounds? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.75 |
| 01-15 11:17 | Will Deandre Ayton lead the NBA in Rebounds? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.75 |
| 01-15 11:16 | Will Robert Giuffra be Trump's Attorney General? | SELL | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 01-15 11:16 | Will Jay Clayton be Trump's Attorney General? | SELL | 0.002 | $1.01 |
| 01-15 11:15 | Will LaMelo Ball lead the NBA in Assists? | SELL | 0.002 | $1.33 |
| 01-14 12:14 | Will LaMelo Ball lead the NBA in Assists? | BUY | 0.003 | $2.00 |