xxhh68
0x8cf9389daa228e0ba16905ab02bee64aff1bf946
- Realised P&L
- $-257.00
- Volume
- $7.4k
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $85.90
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of October 5 above $130? · No | 0.999 | 0.895 | $17.90 | −$2.08 |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of October 5 above $120? · No | 0.999 | 0.900 | $17.55 | −$1.93 |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of October 5 above $10? · Yes | 0.999 | 0.900 | $17.12 | −$1.88 |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of October 5 above $110? · No | 0.999 | 0.900 | $17.12 | −$1.88 |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of October 5 above $20? · Yes | 0.999 | 0.900 | $16.22 | −$1.78 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? · Yes | 0.016 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.84 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET · Up | 0.729 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$66.83 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.30at 0.650Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
- +$3.20at 0.440Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
- +$2.22at 0.970Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
- +$1.11at 0.980Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
- +$0.95at 0.989Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on November 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 07:28 | Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of October 5 above $110? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.00 |
| 10-07 07:28 | Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of October 5 above $120? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.48 |
| 10-07 07:28 | Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of October 5 above $130? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 10-07 07:28 | Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of October 5 above $10? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.00 |
| 10-07 07:27 | Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of October 5 above $20? | BUY | 0.999 | $18.00 |
| 08-22 11:36 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $9.00-$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 24 – Aug 28? | BUY | 0.9981071429 | $111.79 |
| 07-06 07:18 | Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12? | BUY | 0.9951842744 | $122.00 |
| 06-26 04:18 | Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 June 22-28? | BUY | 0.9972170599 | $121.00 |
| 03-20 10:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET | BUY | 0.7217550491 | $65.48 |
| 03-20 08:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET | BUY | 0.97 | $72.42 |
| 03-20 07:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $9.96 |
| 03-19 14:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET | BUY | 0.82 | $56.21 |
| 03-12 17:44 | Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of March 9 above $470? | BUY | 0.999 | $59.53 |
| 03-01 07:32 | Will "Tití Me Preguntó - Bad Bunny" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week? | BUY | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 02-24 08:03 | Will TonalEnergy Tuner & Metronome be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on February 27? | BUY | 0.999 | $59.42 |