Abdul904
0x8cf7b05a6d7817c621bd52f769aa0a1586e81de0
- Realised P&L
- $-4.55
- Volume
- $18.7k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $4.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.073 | 0.024 | $4.28 | −$9.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.97at 0.026Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
- +$3.38at 0.963Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
- +$2.66at 0.968Will Kenny Hallaert win the 2025 WSOP Main Event?
- +$2.27at 0.006Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?
- +$1.24at 0.981Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-09 08:37 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 9, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.6 | $16.20 |
| 05-12 14:56 | Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.927 | $73.23 |
| 05-12 10:19 | Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.927 | $58.40 |
| 05-12 08:34 | Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.928 | $58.46 |
| 04-23 16:52 | Starmer out by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.968 | $58.08 |
| 04-23 06:00 | Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.95 | $551.95 |
| 04-22 20:25 | Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open? | BUY | 0.981 | $606.26 |
| 04-21 08:24 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | BUY | 0.026 | $1.64 |
| 07-16 21:50 | Will Kenny Hallaert win the 2025 WSOP Main Event? | SELL | 0.996 | $94.62 |
| 07-16 21:39 | Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | SELL | 0.047 | $11.75 |
| 07-16 21:17 | Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2025 National League Championship? | SELL | 0.98 | $10.78 |
| 07-16 21:04 | Will Kenny Hallaert win the 2025 WSOP Main Event? | BUY | 0.968 | $91.96 |
| 07-16 19:57 | Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 National League Championship? | SELL | 0.04 | $1.40 |
| 07-16 19:54 | Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | BUY | 0.047 | $9.82 |
| 07-16 16:55 | Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 National League Championship? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.40 |