PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

k3rzhik2k

0x8cf0acb6fb3bc7bae0c7dea06412fdbfe457ab54

Realised P&L
$868.79
Volume
$119.5k
Markets traded
702
Open portfolio
$16.30

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded702
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on October 20? · Yes0.2390.260$16.30+$1.30
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on September 16? · Yes0.0660.000$0.00−$18.05
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 10? · Yes0.2170.000$0.00−$6.50
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on September 14? · Yes0.0480.000$0.00−$5.76
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 9? · Yes0.0890.000$0.00−$13.15
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on September 14? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00−$3.23
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on September 8? · Yes0.0760.000$0.00−$25.60
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 14? · Yes0.0890.000$0.00−$10.52
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 19? · Yes0.0330.000$0.00−$2.31
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C or higher on September 8? · Yes0.0510.000$0.00−$19.35
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on October 10? · No0.0410.000$0.00−$1.95
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-13? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00−$21.00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 10? · Yes0.1310.000$0.00−$28.60
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on September 6? · Yes0.2230.000$0.00−$26.50
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on September 9? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$0.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 07:39Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on October 20?BUY0.2392026553$15.00
10-19 05:52Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 19?BUY0.032$1.35
10-18 22:08Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 19?BUY0.0331896898$2.31
10-18 17:54Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 18?BUY0.074810991$3.25
10-13 19:05Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on October 13?BUY0.0229783499$1.18
10-13 19:01Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 13?BUY0.1452380952$3.05
10-13 18:54Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on October 13?BUY0.017$0.85
10-13 11:16Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 13?BUY0.0246923077$0.96
10-13 05:50Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 13?BUY0.156131528$4.04
10-10 18:01Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on October 10?BUY0.0414680851$1.95
10-10 13:14Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 10?BUY0.2166666667$6.50
10-09 21:21Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 10?BUY0.0378115152$3.74
10-09 16:04Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 9?SELL0.089$1.74
10-09 16:04Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 9?SELL0.1555714286$5.45
10-08 16:36Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on October 8?BUY0.11$1.65