k3rzhik2k
0x8cf0acb6fb3bc7bae0c7dea06412fdbfe457ab54
- Realised P&L
- $868.79
- Volume
- $119.5k
- Markets traded
- 702
- Open portfolio
- $16.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded702
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$186.85at 0.037Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on July 31?
- +$186.56at 0.021Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on September 3?
- +$153.21at 0.071Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 15?
- +$139.57at 0.111Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on September 9?
- +$137.53at 0.093Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 07:39 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.2392026553 | $15.00 |
| 10-19 05:52 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.032 | $1.35 |
| 10-18 22:08 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.0331896898 | $2.31 |
| 10-18 17:54 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.074810991 | $3.25 |
| 10-13 19:05 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.0229783499 | $1.18 |
| 10-13 19:01 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.1452380952 | $3.05 |
| 10-13 18:54 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.017 | $0.85 |
| 10-13 11:16 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.0246923077 | $0.96 |
| 10-13 05:50 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.156131528 | $4.04 |
| 10-10 18:01 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.0414680851 | $1.95 |
| 10-10 13:14 | Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.2166666667 | $6.50 |
| 10-09 21:21 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.0378115152 | $3.74 |
| 10-09 16:04 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 9? | SELL | 0.089 | $1.74 |
| 10-09 16:04 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 9? | SELL | 0.1555714286 | $5.45 |
| 10-08 16:36 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on October 8? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.65 |