PolyBot

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Traders

0x8cefc55adc2f05a27f95fb9e8b0d86ecda70cb83

0x8cefc55adc2f05a27f95fb9e8b0d86ecda70cb83

Realised P&L
$92.28
Volume
$688.75
Markets traded
8
Open portfolio
$78.25

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar13.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded8
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration64.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration72.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 27? · Yes0.1920.145$56.10−$18.36
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 27? · Yes0.5180.590$21.43+$2.60
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 26? · Yes0.2190.000$0.00−$19.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-27 04:10Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 27?BUY0.5199999968$13.18
09-27 04:08Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 27?BUY0.5145358659$5.65
09-27 02:09Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 27?BUY0.225183232$10.86
09-27 02:09Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 27?BUY0.2145304364$6.66
09-27 02:09Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 27?BUY0.2188729493$29.13
09-27 02:09Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 27?BUY0.2031973007$5.75
09-27 02:08Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 27?BUY0.1508833877$22.06
09-26 06:11Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 26?BUY0.279999986$2.40
09-26 06:11Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 26?BUY0.2682352941$3.42
09-26 06:11Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 26?BUY0.2752542186$2.90
09-26 06:10Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 26?BUY0.2041046877$4.30
09-26 06:10Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 26?BUY0.19$1.90
09-26 06:10Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 26?BUY0.1846520524$2.12
09-26 06:10Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 26?BUY0.1621296214$2.06
09-26 05:11Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 26?BUY0.4199999604$4.03