tsklee
0x8cef3c1b592953d61eee2bc9375c5944a8926b6d
- Realised P&L
- $-3.7k
- Volume
- $120.3k
- Markets traded
- 1,036
- Open portfolio
- $676.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,036
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration26.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$98.66at 0.953Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 9?
- +$72.89at 0.944Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 22?
- +$66.64at 0.951Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 7?
- +$48.60at 0.977Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on August 31?
- +$41.48at 0.961LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs NightBirds (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 02:39 | Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 30°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.999 | $124.00 |
| 10-19 02:38 | Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.999 | $248.00 |
| 10-19 02:37 | Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 32°C or higher on October 19? | BUY | 0.999 | $279.00 |
| 10-18 18:50 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.9074891863 | $19.40 |
| 10-18 05:45 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.9989998347 | $6.00 |
| 10-18 05:35 | Will it rain in New York, NY on October 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $374.00 |
| 10-18 03:41 | Will it rain in Washington, DC on October 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $27.00 |
| 10-18 03:40 | Will it rain in Seattle, WA on October 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $27.00 |
| 10-18 03:40 | Will it rain in Phoenix, AZ on October 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $27.00 |
| 10-18 03:39 | Will it rain in Philadelphia, PA on October 17? | BUY | 0.998999964 | $27.00 |
| 10-18 03:38 | Will it rain in New York, NY on October 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $48.00 |
| 10-18 00:46 | Will it rain in Miami, FL on October 17? | BUY | 0.9989999928 | $121.00 |
| 10-17 17:54 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.9989999962 | $206.00 |
| 10-17 17:54 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $248.00 |
| 10-17 16:51 | Will it rain in Miami, FL on October 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.00 |