PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Deceinber10

0x8ce8b08bb10afe135f1b5b2d38f278880bc4beb6

Realised P&L
$-156.03
Volume
$19.4k
Markets traded
109
Open portfolio
$32.31

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded109
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration60.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration96.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 8? · No0.9940.998$31.31+$0.11
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.9860.990$1.00+$0.00
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00−$0.36
Oilers vs. Flyers · Flyers0.4600.000$0.00−$110.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 11:53Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 8?BUY0.9939999999$31.20
10-04 07:08Will Ethereum reach $2,900 September 28-October 4?BUY0.993$31.20
08-19 21:19Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 August 17-23?SELL0.22$11.31
08-18 00:34Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 August 17-23?BUY0.9739999926$50.10
08-16 12:32Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 16?BUY0.998$50.00
08-05 01:56Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 5?BUY0.9739999996$48.80
08-03 06:28Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 4?BUY0.7899999982$38.74
08-02 02:35Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 27-August 2?BUY0.99164687$38.90
07-30 01:41Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 30?BUY0.9869999999$37.50
07-29 02:08Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 29?BUY0.9809999999$36.20
07-27 04:52Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 27?BUY0.995$36.50
07-26 03:05Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 20-26?BUY0.9859999997$36.00
07-22 14:22Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 22?BUY0.999$35.00
07-22 14:19Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.976$0.99
07-22 14:19Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.98$2.96