PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

AEXE

0x8ce60e50bbb1783a546ea2b045dc690819a049c8

Realised P&L
$-788.92
Volume
$23.4k
Markets traded
30
Open portfolio
$502.24

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded30
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration49.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)77.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026? · Yes0.6980.723$502.08+$16.86
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.7600.040$0.16−$2.88
Ethereum flipped in 2026? · No0.3830.000$0.00−$428.88
Based FDV above $3B one day after launch? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00−$13.17
Iran closes its airspace by May 24? · Yes0.5110.000$0.00−$153.30
No airdrop in 2025? · Yes0.1570.000$0.00−$314.88
LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.1500.000$0.00−$30.00
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? · No0.0720.000$0.00−$32.31
Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes0.7700.000$0.00−$80.85
Will Putin visit China by May 31? · No0.0300.000$0.00−$99.99
Nexus FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.4820.000$0.00−$122.99
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.0430.000$0.00−$1.06
Nexus FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes0.0570.000$0.00−$20.73
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes0.5940.000$0.00−$104.61
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch? · No0.0350.000$0.00−$7.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 08:59Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?BUY0.7$140.00
11-01 06:35Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?BUY0.7252797209$145.00
09-26 04:01Will Bitget resume withdrawals by September 27, 2026?BUY0.8899999994$15.94
09-26 04:00Will Bitget resume withdrawals by September 27, 2026?BUY0.8899999986$50.00
06-12 09:21Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?BUY0.5305215312$93.00
05-23 08:54Iran closes its airspace by May 24?SELL0.5$124.00
05-21 11:19Nexus FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.133000009$1.99
05-21 09:39Nexus FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.1$4.00
05-21 08:32Nexus FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY0.1071616031$6.63
03-30 07:18Ethereum flipped in 2026?BUY0.4$0.06
03-02 12:54Will Opinion launch a token on March 5?BUY0.96$700.80
02-02 09:37Based FDV above $3B one day after launch?SELL0.992$369.34
01-05 13:09No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?SELL0.9$226.14
12-30 01:56No airdrop in 2025?BUY0.1689$168.90
12-13 03:30Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?SELL0.54$103.17