PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x8ce03dbc82844453e06ae0c47aeef86fde3a90fc

Realised P&L
$-5.56
Volume
$693.00
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$101.72

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
ClearProfit concentration28.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)41.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-07 06:32Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? SELL0.1$1.40
06-22 21:17China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9$6.30
06-18 20:07Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?BUY0.272$1.63
05-20 18:30Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.585$2.92
05-20 18:30Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.8$6.40
05-20 18:30Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.2$1.60
05-20 18:29Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?BUY0.88$7.04
05-20 18:29Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?BUY0.13$1.04
05-20 18:29Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?BUY0.399$2.79
05-20 18:28Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.83$5.81
05-20 18:28Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? BUY0.88$5.28
05-20 18:28Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? BUY0.13$1.82
04-27 21:51Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.497$5.47
04-27 21:51Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.503$6.04
04-27 21:51Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?BUY0.231$2.08