0x8ce03dbc82844453e06ae0c47aeef86fde3a90fc
- Realised P&L
- $-5.56
- Volume
- $693.00
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $101.72
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration28.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)41.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.28at 0.210Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?
- +$0.26at 0.220Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?
- +$0.20at 0.430U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
- +$0.18at 0.790U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
- +$0.07at 0.900China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-07 06:32 | Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? | SELL | 0.1 | $1.40 |
| 06-22 21:17 | China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $6.30 |
| 06-18 20:07 | Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? | BUY | 0.272 | $1.63 |
| 05-20 18:30 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.585 | $2.92 |
| 05-20 18:30 | Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.8 | $6.40 |
| 05-20 18:30 | Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.60 |
| 05-20 18:29 | Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $7.04 |
| 05-20 18:29 | Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.04 |
| 05-20 18:29 | Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? | BUY | 0.399 | $2.79 |
| 05-20 18:28 | Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.83 | $5.81 |
| 05-20 18:28 | Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? | BUY | 0.88 | $5.28 |
| 05-20 18:28 | Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.82 |
| 04-27 21:51 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.497 | $5.47 |
| 04-27 21:51 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.503 | $6.04 |
| 04-27 21:51 | Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.231 | $2.08 |