lee886
0x8cc8560dfbd3b39a7aee6d1209876ebad9f1f1b3
- Realised P&L
- $-81.8k
- Volume
- $763.1k
- Markets traded
- 157
- Open portfolio
- $13.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded157
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.1kat 0.872US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
- +$4.9kat 0.911US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
- +$2.0kat 0.911Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?
- +$1.7kat 0.954US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
- +$1.4kat 0.502Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 10:41 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? | BUY | 0.93 | $500.00 |
| 09-28 09:15 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September? | BUY | 0.1590868415 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 08:37 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on September 28? | BUY | 0.056003144 | $30.00 |
| 09-28 08:35 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September? | BUY | 0.7515649295 | $500.00 |
| 09-28 05:41 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September? | BUY | 0.1399999997 | $50.00 |
| 09-28 02:50 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | SELL | 0.9652177885 | $548.36 |
| 09-28 02:49 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September? | SELL | 0.982011612 | $2.5k |
| 09-28 02:49 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? | BUY | 0.89 | $1000.00 |
| 09-28 02:41 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.01 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 02:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 28? | BUY | 0.089 | $100.00 |
| 09-28 02:39 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September? | BUY | 0.32 | $100.00 |
| 09-28 02:05 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September? | BUY | 0.3796203791 | $100.00 |
| 09-28 01:58 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September? | BUY | 0.4 | $100.00 |
| 09-28 01:39 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September? | BUY | 0.4352126594 | $100.00 |
| 09-28 01:25 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September? | BUY | 0.4790419162 | $500.00 |