asitiet
0x8cc50926bf7cd986f18a30ea8951282cb088f5e1
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $149.0k
- Markets traded
- 2,533
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,533
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration49.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$361.74at 0.550Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- +$310.96at 0.398Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?
- +$163.64at 0.550Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)
- +$157.53at 0.699Will Netanyahu say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?
- +$88.52at 0.345Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 22:03 | Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed? | BUY | 0.52 | $31.72 |
| 11-01 22:02 | Will no Israeli government be formed after the 2026 Knesset election? | BUY | 0.3656338028 | $25.96 |
| 11-01 18:28 | Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | BUY | 0.77 | $30.80 |
| 11-01 17:20 | Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $9.96 |
| 11-01 13:30 | Will voter turnout be 77% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.952 | $57.12 |
| 11-01 13:28 | Will the Netanyahu bloc win the Israeli election by 5-6 seats? | BUY | 0.956 | $95.60 |
| 11-01 12:05 | Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.15 | $15.00 |
| 11-01 11:59 | Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.678 | $3.39 |
| 10-31 21:56 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs? | BUY | 0.9 | $83.00 |
| 10-31 21:55 | Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.997 | $80.01 |
| 10-31 21:52 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs? | BUY | 0.871 | $17.42 |
| 10-31 18:54 | Next Israeli government a minority government? | BUY | 0.3 | $6.00 |
| 10-31 12:11 | Will no Israeli government be formed after the 2026 Knesset election? | BUY | 0.48 | $9.60 |
| 10-30 21:09 | Will Reservists – New Economic Party win less than 2.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.9036352629 | $99.10 |
| 10-30 21:08 | Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.989 | $98.90 |