vladimir lennon
0x8cbf3d55f8dfe8ccb03c05b01fe068ab6a4da496
- Realised P&L
- $-529.84
- Volume
- $26.6k
- Markets traded
- 69
- Open portfolio
- $169.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded69
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.470 | $169.20 | +$64.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$179.14at 0.535India military action against Pakistan before June?
- +$106.84at 0.897Will Playboi Carti release new album in 2024?
- +$89.43at 0.775Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$59.55at 0.890Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$52.00at 0.800US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 22:57 | Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? | BUY | 0.29 | $104.40 |
| 04-13 09:34 | Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority? | SELL | 0.986 | $87.29 |
| 04-13 09:34 | Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 100 seats? | SELL | 0.993 | $36.77 |
| 04-12 18:48 | Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority? | BUY | 0.9 | $79.36 |
| 04-12 17:41 | Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.3 | $9.36 |
| 04-12 09:38 | Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.641120471 | $20.00 |
| 04-12 09:35 | Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 100 seats? | BUY | 0.8099999957 | $30.00 |
| 04-07 21:41 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | SELL | 0.59 | $30.43 |
| 04-06 07:50 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | BUY | 0.8199999993 | $90.00 |
| 04-06 07:49 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | SELL | 0.71 | $86.58 |
| 04-04 06:27 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | BUY | 0.819999999 | $100.00 |
| 03-24 23:17 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $80.00 |
| 03-24 23:14 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $128.00 |
| 11-17 20:13 | Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | SELL | 0.37 | $26.54 |
| 11-15 20:30 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | BUY | 0.95 | $311.03 |