Arkozi
0x8cbe76924a652245ba2d9eb17ad12ff4a60a7ec4
- Realised P&L
- $-5.18
- Volume
- $167.98
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $8.80
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in November? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.325 | $4.55 | +$0.21 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in November? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.250 | $4.25 | −$0.17 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.24 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.25at 0.240Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?
- +$-3.24at 0.190Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?
- +$-3.94at 0.210Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 14:15 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in November? | BUY | 0.26 | $1.82 |
| 11-01 14:15 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in November? | BUY | 0.31 | $1.86 |
| 11-01 14:13 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in November? | BUY | 0.31 | $2.48 |
| 11-01 14:13 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in November? | BUY | 0.26 | $2.60 |
| 09-18 14:23 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.82 |
| 07-28 14:25 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July? | SELL | 0.049 | $1.18 |