PolyBot

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Traders

BIG-LONG

0x8cbb33115876bc9648dcb7104c1cd213ccf21af3

Realised P&L
$-386.46
Volume
$28.8k
Markets traded
811
Open portfolio
$19.51

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded811
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 18? · Yes0.1050.410$19.51+$14.51
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C or higher on August 9? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$0.20
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 5? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00−$3.60
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 17? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$0.60
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET · Up0.5100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 6? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET · Down0.6600.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-17 16:03Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 18?BUY0.105051211$5.00
10-17 06:45Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 17?SELL0.04$0.40
10-17 05:38Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 17?BUY0.13$1.30
10-17 03:58Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 17?BUY0.1$0.60
10-16 13:00Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 16?SELL0.998$9.98
10-16 01:15Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 16?SELL0.312270663$6.88
10-15 10:20Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 16?BUY0.2269721851$5.00
10-15 06:32Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 15?SELL0.72$11.09
10-15 05:30Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 15?BUY0.1948051948$3.00
10-15 05:15Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 15?SELL0.1692930153$1.99
10-15 04:15Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 15?BUY0.4257425397$5.00
10-06 01:40Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 6?BUY0.1$1.00
10-04 16:20Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETBUY0.5099998215$1.00
10-04 15:48Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETSELL0.98$2.00
10-04 15:45Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETBUY0.4899998383$1.00