0x8cB8D931F4FD32fa807bC14ff330476D87C758E1-1762010096352
0x8cb8d931f4fd32fa807bc14ff330476d87c758e1
- Realised P&L
- $-2.68
- Volume
- $5.6k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $23.20
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)13.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.315 | 0.145 | $23.20 | −$27.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.08at 0.999Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.988Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?
- +$-0.10at 0.999Will Ariana Grande be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
- +$-0.10at 0.999Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
- +$-0.10at 0.999Will Drake be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 20:46 | Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $6.40 |
| 09-27 18:53 | Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $89.99 |
| 12-08 06:25 | Will Elon Musk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | SELL | 0.992 | $99.07 |
| 12-08 06:23 | Will Elon Musk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | BUY | 0.9929999999 | $99.18 |
| 11-21 06:59 | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | SELL | 0.994 | $99.18 |
| 11-21 06:54 | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.995 | $99.28 |
| 11-21 06:53 | Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.989 | $99.28 |
| 11-21 06:40 | Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.99 | $99.37 |
| 11-18 17:34 | Will Ariana Grande be the top Spotify artist for 2025? | SELL | 0.998 | $99.37 |
| 11-18 17:29 | Will Ariana Grande be the top Spotify artist for 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.48 |
| 11-18 17:28 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | SELL | 0.998 | $99.48 |
| 11-18 17:11 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.59 |
| 11-18 17:10 | Will Drake be the top Spotify artist for 2025? | SELL | 0.998 | $99.59 |
| 11-18 16:51 | Will Drake be the top Spotify artist for 2025? | BUY | 0.998999998 | $99.70 |
| 11-12 04:01 | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | SELL | 0.994 | $99.70 |