PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x8cb56F8A6205B714D043B23443632d0374C4F15A-1782737401451

0x8cb56f8a6205b714d043b23443632d0374c4f15a

Realised P&L
$-1.0k
Volume
$602.4k
Markets traded
341
Open portfolio
$4.11

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded341
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Abdul El-Sayed run ahead of Jocelyn Benson? · Yes0.0020.006$1.39+$0.93
Will "You Can See Everything" 3rd Weekend Box Office be at least $14M? · Yes0.0370.003$1.32−$18.17
Will "You Can See Everything" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between $8M and $10M? · Yes0.0300.010$0.87−$1.74
Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m? · Yes0.0300.010$0.40−$0.81
Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least 16m? · Yes0.0100.001$0.09−$1.73
Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 16m? · Yes0.0130.001$0.04−$0.96
Cruzeiro EC vs. CA Paranaense: Neither team to score first? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00−$2.00
Antalya 4: Lucia Bronzetti vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela · Lucia Bronzetti0.2100.000$0.00−$2.68
Swiss Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud · Casper Ruud0.6340.000$0.00−$28.98
The Memphis Classic: Katie Volynets vs Viktorija Golubic · Viktorija Golubic0.8100.000$0.00−$58.12
Baltimore Orioles vs. Colorado Rockies · Baltimore Orioles0.7400.000$0.00−$446.22
Will Australia win on 2026-09-25? · Yes0.6700.000$0.00−$12.33
Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $15M and $16.5M? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$0.01
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Phantom (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1: Closed Qualifier Playoffs · Phantom0.2600.000$0.00−$115.00
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 18, 2026? · No0.5380.000$0.00−$13.44

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 20:13Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.8599999983$41.56
11-01 19:05Will Abdul El-Sayed run ahead of Jocelyn Benson?BUY0.002$0.15
11-01 17:59Will Kristiansund BK win on 2026-11-01?SELL0.999$42.30
11-01 16:31Will Kristiansund BK win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.7899999979$33.45
11-01 12:58Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-01?SELL0.87$34.03
11-01 11:49Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.7599999949$29.73
11-01 06:13Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?SELL0.0737144558$3.10
11-01 04:25Will MrBeast hit 525 million subscribers by October 31?SELL0.002$0.05
10-31 19:01Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?SELL0.9531042155$182.91
10-30 20:38Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?SELL0.981346$44.16
10-30 03:32Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-08-15?SELL0.999$22.24
10-30 03:17Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-08-15?BUY0.998$22.22
10-30 03:14Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?SELL0.009$2.19
10-30 03:14Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?SELL0.5313480723$19.71
10-30 02:54Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?BUY0.619999993$23.00