0x8cb56F8A6205B714D043B23443632d0374C4F15A-1782737401451
0x8cb56f8a6205b714d043b23443632d0374c4f15a
- Realised P&L
- $-1.0k
- Volume
- $602.4k
- Markets traded
- 341
- Open portfolio
- $4.11
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded341
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.4kat 0.148Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026?
- +$2.9kat 0.350Will Holstein Kiel vs. 1. FC Nürnberg end in a draw?
- +$2.7kat 0.208LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Playoffs
- +$1.9kat 0.369Will DSC Arminia Bielefeld vs. FC St. Pauli 1910 end in a draw?
- +$1.8kat 0.404Will New York City FC vs. Nashville SC end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 20:13 | Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.8599999983 | $41.56 |
| 11-01 19:05 | Will Abdul El-Sayed run ahead of Jocelyn Benson? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.15 |
| 11-01 17:59 | Will Kristiansund BK win on 2026-11-01? | SELL | 0.999 | $42.30 |
| 11-01 16:31 | Will Kristiansund BK win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.7899999979 | $33.45 |
| 11-01 12:58 | Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-01? | SELL | 0.87 | $34.03 |
| 11-01 11:49 | Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.7599999949 | $29.73 |
| 11-01 06:13 | Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m? | SELL | 0.0737144558 | $3.10 |
| 11-01 04:25 | Will MrBeast hit 525 million subscribers by October 31? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.05 |
| 10-31 19:01 | Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9531042155 | $182.91 |
| 10-30 20:38 | Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.981346 | $44.16 |
| 10-30 03:32 | Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-08-15? | SELL | 0.999 | $22.24 |
| 10-30 03:17 | Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-08-15? | BUY | 0.998 | $22.22 |
| 10-30 03:14 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.009 | $2.19 |
| 10-30 03:14 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.5313480723 | $19.71 |
| 10-30 02:54 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.619999993 | $23.00 |