0x8cAe7477E9d10C10e5F7A8f4638cF5F0526f061a-1763281488355
0x8cae7477e9d10c10e5f7a8f4638cf5f0526f061a
- Realised P&L
- $-20.57
- Volume
- $11.7k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $335.63
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.076 | 0.065 | $265.15 | −$47.17 |
| US imports Russian diesel by October 31? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.420 | $66.36 | −$1.58 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.180 | $4.12 | +$1.14 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? · Yes | 0.366 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$53.06 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.77at 0.820Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 01:11 | US imports Russian diesel by October 31? | BUY | 0.43 | $60.83 |
| 10-10 21:39 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $68.04 |
| 10-10 17:59 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $3.50 |
| 10-10 17:57 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $84.00 |
| 08-10 19:04 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0789507046 | $390.00 |
| 08-10 18:57 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999931 | $9.00 |
| 12-16 01:44 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.37 | $85.19 |
| 11-25 20:00 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BUY | 0.82 | $94.42 |
| 11-23 21:03 | Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? | BUY | 0.27 | $10.26 |
| 11-23 21:00 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | SELL | 0.86 | $180.60 |
| 11-23 17:55 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BUY | 0.88 | $184.80 |
| 11-23 17:54 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.37 | $184.48 |
| 11-16 09:44 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.3299999992 | $197.53 |