0x8caDE5d2A00e0941b5A2B69EE3F6cE9D8867345F-1790136808238
0x8cade5d2a00e0941b5a2b69ee3f6ce9d8867345f
- Realised P&L
- $-16.06
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 101
- Open portfolio
- $13.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded101
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET · Down | 0.754 | 0.990 | $9.89 | +$2.35 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 7AM ET · Up | 0.570 | 0.595 | $2.98 | +$0.13 |
| Solana Up or Down - September 24, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET · Up | 0.011 | 0.030 | $0.30 | +$0.19 |
| XRP Up or Down - September 24, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET · Up | 0.025 | 0.023 | $0.23 | −$0.03 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 24, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET · Up | 0.188 | 0.008 | $0.08 | −$1.79 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.37at 0.030Solana Up or Down - September 23, 12PM ET
- +$5.00at 0.011Ethereum Up or Down - September 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
- +$4.25at 0.325Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 1AM ET
- +$4.20at 0.580Ethereum Up or Down - September 23, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
- +$4.10at 0.590Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7AM ET