YieldDelta
0x8caccf91ac3fc0bf888eb294e6105f86ad8bab70
- Realised P&L
- $-30.85
- Volume
- $55.0k
- Markets traded
- 590
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded590
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lions vs. Bills: O/U 44.5 · Over | 0.820 | 0.790 | $192.68 | −$7.32 |
| Lions vs. Bills: O/U 48.5 · Over | 0.690 | 0.705 | $102.17 | +$2.17 |
| Lions vs. Bills: O/U 51.5 · Over | 0.600 | 0.595 | $99.17 | −$0.83 |
| Lions vs. Bills: O/U 42.5 · Over | 0.850 | 0.840 | $98.82 | −$1.18 |
| Lions vs. Bills: O/U 36.5 · Over | 0.950 | 0.925 | $97.37 | −$2.63 |
| Lions vs. Bills: O/U 38.5 · Over | 0.940 | 0.900 | $95.74 | −$4.26 |
| Lions vs. Bills: O/U 46.5 · Over | 0.756 | 0.720 | $95.25 | −$4.75 |
| Lions vs. Bills: O/U 40.5 · Over | 0.890 | 0.840 | $94.38 | −$5.62 |
| Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-09-18? · No | 0.975 | 0.976 | $76.53 | +$0.04 |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets · New York Mets | 0.590 | 0.345 | $58.47 | −$41.53 |
| Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026? · No | 0.979 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$70.01 |
| Cassis: Titouan Droguet vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer · Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs · KT Rolster Challengers | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Barranquilla: Leolia Jeanjean vs Claire Liu · Leolia Jeanjean | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25? · Yes | 0.990 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.18 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$119.70at 0.452UNLV vs. North Texas
- +$84.01at 0.572Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves
- +$81.34at 0.442Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-09-12?
- +$72.00at 0.582Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-09-12?
- +$61.98at 0.622Falcons vs. Steelers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 23:32 | Lions vs. Bills: O/U 51.5 | BUY | 0.5999999988 | $100.00 |
| 09-17 23:29 | Lions vs. Bills: O/U 44.5 | BUY | 0.819999999 | $100.00 |
| 09-17 23:27 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets | BUY | 0.589999998 | $100.00 |
| 09-17 23:26 | Lions vs. Bills: O/U 48.5 | BUY | 0.689999999 | $100.00 |
| 09-17 23:22 | Lions vs. Bills: O/U 46.5 | BUY | 0.7559306178 | $100.00 |
| 09-17 23:22 | Lions vs. Bills: O/U 44.5 | BUY | 0.819999999 | $100.00 |
| 09-17 23:21 | Lions vs. Bills: O/U 42.5 | BUY | 0.8499999996 | $100.00 |
| 09-17 23:21 | Lions vs. Bills: O/U 40.5 | BUY | 0.8899999965 | $100.00 |
| 09-17 23:20 | Lions vs. Bills: O/U 38.5 | BUY | 0.9399999996 | $100.00 |
| 09-17 23:20 | Lions vs. Bills: O/U 36.5 | BUY | 0.95 | $100.00 |
| 09-17 23:07 | Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | SELL | 0.9710736707 | $75.79 |
| 09-17 22:56 | Rennes: Borna Gojo vs Matteo Martineau | SELL | 0.999 | $102.20 |
| 09-17 22:46 | Rennes: Borna Gojo vs Matteo Martineau | BUY | 0.9774623953 | $100.00 |
| 09-17 22:41 | Sao Paulo Open: Eva Lys vs Nadia Podoroska | SELL | 0.999 | $105.15 |
| 09-17 22:33 | Sao Paulo Open: Eva Lys vs Nadia Podoroska | BUY | 0.95 | $100.00 |