0x8CAbd2d87234766283EBa6e7C75505C79eD7918d-1788078960620
0x8cabd2d87234766283eba6e7c75505c79ed7918d
- Realised P&L
- $5.50
- Volume
- $980.60
- Markets traded
- 114
- Open portfolio
- $9.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded114
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 3? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.395 | $5.64 | −$0.36 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 3? · Yes | 0.407 | 0.270 | $3.98 | −$2.02 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on October 2? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$5.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.65at 0.402Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 1?
- +$6.97at 0.469Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 2?
- +$5.77at 0.465Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on October 1?
- +$3.33at 0.382Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on September 30?
- +$3.19at 0.392Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 01:15 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.419999979 | $6.00 |
| 10-03 01:13 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.4066115582 | $6.00 |
| 10-03 00:35 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 2? | SELL | 0.999 | $13.14 |
| 10-02 10:21 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on October 2? | BUY | 0.4299999807 | $6.00 |
| 10-02 10:21 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 2? | BUY | 0.4561983441 | $6.00 |
| 10-02 10:19 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 3? | SELL | 0.51 | $7.46 |
| 10-02 10:19 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 3? | SELL | 0.3 | $4.18 |
| 10-02 03:17 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.4099999816 | $6.00 |
| 10-02 03:17 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.4299999807 | $6.00 |
| 10-02 00:40 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $12.81 |
| 10-01 14:54 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 1? | BUY | 0.3899999945 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 14:53 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on October 1? | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 14:53 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.9879221014 | $10.91 |
| 10-01 10:55 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.0659241706 | $0.56 |
| 10-01 10:39 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.13 | $0.37 |