PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

LightsOutF1

0x8cab31ce6aac9c407e5c840638cb0ccdc2772202

Realised P&L
$359.33
Volume
$8.7k
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$191.22

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration61.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration78.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 12:37Who will finish higher: Verstappen or Piastri?BUY0.45$27.00
09-13 12:37Who will finish higher: Verstappen or Piastri?BUY0.85$22.99
09-13 12:22Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?BUY0.5491140741$148.26
09-13 12:22Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?BUY0.75$195.00
09-13 06:26Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?BUY0.452006$45.20
09-13 06:24Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?BUY0.78$15.60
09-13 06:24Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?BUY0.78$11.70
09-13 06:23Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?BUY0.78$15.60
09-13 06:23Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?BUY0.75954$15.19
09-12 15:17Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?SELL0.999$795.58
09-12 15:00Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?BUY0.3612893478$35.51
09-12 15:00Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?BUY0.16978$50.93
09-12 14:59Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?BUY0.0537761202$20.65
09-12 14:33Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?BUY0.3$53.91
09-12 14:15Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?BUY0.039$3.90