Questions67
0x8ca683248387d3340160200a47d79940e5a4cfb5
- Realised P&L
- $-2.07
- Volume
- $73.37
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $3.33
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by October 31? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.045 | $1.29 | −$0.71 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes | 0.660 | 0.625 | $1.24 | −$0.07 |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? · Yes | 0.048 | 0.038 | $0.80 | −$0.20 |
| Will "SpaceX" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of October 5? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-1.04at 0.073Will Constellation Brands say "Drought" during earnings call?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 13:38 | Will Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by October 31? | BUY | 0.069999999 | $2.00 |
| 10-05 14:37 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.6599998287 | $1.31 |
| 10-04 19:15 | Will "SpaceX" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of October 5? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 19:14 | Will Constellation Brands say "Drought" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 19:14 | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | BUY | 0.0479999985 | $1.00 |