richskwirt
0x8ca5b36966f07475431822b35f478940a41357ef
- Realised P&L
- $4.24
- Volume
- $14.5k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $755.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants · San Francisco Giants | 0.310 | 0.310 | $210.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-09-26? · Yes | 0.523 | 0.500 | $200.71 | −$9.29 |
| Bengals vs. Steelers · Bengals | 0.610 | 0.475 | $163.52 | −$46.48 |
| Seahawks vs. Commanders · Seahawks | 0.780 | 0.515 | $138.65 | −$71.35 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies · Tampa Bay Rays | 0.370 | 0.075 | $42.57 | −$167.43 |
| Patriots vs. Jaguars · Patriots | 0.400 | 0.001 | $0.26 | −$209.74 |
| Titans vs. Giants · Titans | 0.440 | 0.001 | $0.24 | −$209.76 |
| Bruins vs. Flyers · Bruins | 0.289 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$210.00 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies · Colorado Rockies | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$210.00 |
| Rangers vs. Islanders · Islanders | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$210.00 |
| Flames vs. Kraken · Flames | 0.284 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$210.00 |
| New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals · Washington Nationals | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$210.00 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies · Philadelphia Phillies | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$210.00 |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals · Kansas City Royals | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$210.00 |
| Texas Rangers vs. Minnesota Twins · Minnesota Twins | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$210.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$694.96at 0.239Panthers vs. Lightning
- +$322.06at 0.402Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies
- +$240.85at 0.472Chicago Cubs vs. Boston Red Sox
- +$222.04at 0.492Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals
- +$213.22at 0.502Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 18:47 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants | BUY | 0.3099999999 | $210.00 |
| 09-27 17:59 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies | BUY | 0.3699999997 | $210.00 |
| 09-27 16:04 | Bengals vs. Steelers | BUY | 0.609999999 | $210.00 |
| 09-27 16:01 | Patriots vs. Jaguars | BUY | 0.4 | $210.00 |
| 09-27 15:56 | Seahawks vs. Commanders | BUY | 0.7799999999 | $210.00 |
| 09-27 15:55 | Titans vs. Giants | BUY | 0.4399999993 | $210.00 |
| 09-26 23:00 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies | BUY | 0.5299999989 | $210.00 |
| 09-26 22:42 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals | BUY | 0.5099999999 | $210.00 |
| 09-26 22:31 | Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.5231381709 | $210.00 |
| 09-26 19:56 | Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins | BUY | 0.48 | $210.00 |
| 09-26 19:53 | Texas Rangers vs. Minnesota Twins | BUY | 0.48 | $210.00 |
| 09-26 19:50 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants | BUY | 0.2899999996 | $210.00 |
| 09-26 16:25 | New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals | BUY | 0.5099999999 | $210.00 |
| 09-26 01:26 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.5199999998 | $210.00 |
| 09-25 22:56 | Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins | BUY | 0.4899999995 | $210.00 |