MATxyz
0x8ca4838f90aab6d25ca0fd6086a863f9b592ab87
- Realised P&L
- $135.85
- Volume
- $74.3k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $2.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.173 | 0.115 | $995.91 | −$504.07 |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.112 | 0.153 | $855.21 | +$232.78 |
| Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.011 | $342.50 | −$97.50 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET · Down | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET · Up | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET · Down | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET · Down | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET · Down | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.302 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.49at 0.617Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
- +$-4.08at 0.304Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
- +$-19.43at 0.569Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$-22.16at 0.603Will France pass a national budget by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 22:50 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.3016832143 | $40.00 |
| 10-26 18:33 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.0k |
| 10-26 15:34 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.1358602763 | $1.6k |
| 10-23 23:32 | Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0134891362 | $440.00 |
| 10-23 22:08 | Will France pass a national budget by December 31? | SELL | 0.4717043633 | $79.46 |
| 10-23 22:07 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.5352923713 | $366.21 |
| 10-14 15:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 15:11 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.5594535844 | $382.74 |
| 10-12 16:04 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.6 | $396.65 |
| 10-07 08:59 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.5679999936 | $10.00 |
| 10-06 14:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET | BUY | 0.469999906 | $2.00 |
| 10-06 14:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $4.00 |
| 10-06 14:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | SELL | 0.85 | $5.66 |
| 10-06 14:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | BUY | 0.59999997 | $4.00 |
| 10-06 14:28 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.5749999999 | $370.00 |