PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x8c9E0850C6CCDEEb8dC28c9f3b70C77CFC5b22fA-1730202276900

0x8c9e0850c6ccdeeb8dc28c9f3b70c77cfc5b22fa

Realised P&L
$-1.2k
Volume
$8.9k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$67.45

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-13.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration63.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration90.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? · Yes0.7100.735$60.92+$2.07
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.32% in October? · Yes0.8320.543$6.52−$3.48
Nottingham Forest wins the Premier League? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00−$3.50
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister? · Yes0.8900.000$0.00−$75.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2170.000$0.00−$250.00
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? · Yes0.1570.000$0.00−$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 09:51Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.32% in October?BUY0.832335294$10.00
09-15 20:35Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.1099999999$50.00
09-13 19:46Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.2199999998$100.00
09-11 12:23Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.4099999984$100.00
06-16 05:48Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?BUY0.7099999925$58.85
09-09 20:19Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?BUY0.1569999987$100.00
09-08 12:11No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?SELL0.033$83.76
08-23 11:15No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?BUY0.1969809905$500.00
03-17 21:03Nottingham Forest wins the Premier League?BUY0.005$3.50
01-08 13:07Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?BUY0.8899999993$75.00
12-10 09:15Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?BUY0.8599999986$60.00
11-20 13:46Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?BUY0.7272929488$48.79
11-15 11:43Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?BUY0.6$1.00
11-05 11:39Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?BUY0.3779999995$400.00