BT123
0x8c99dd40a4df74bfbbb2293cd756ed48a77e82fb
- Realised P&L
- $-2.5k
- Volume
- $159.4k
- Markets traded
- 60
- Open portfolio
- $806.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded60
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Texas Longhorns win the 2027 CFP National Championship? · Yes | 0.084 | 0.145 | $265.68 | +$110.89 |
| Spread: Texas (-6.5) · Texas | 0.468 | 0.455 | $243.07 | −$6.93 |
| Spread: Texas (-0.5) · Texas | 0.660 | 0.665 | $151.14 | +$1.14 |
| Spread: Texas (-2.5) · Texas | 0.630 | 0.615 | $97.62 | −$2.38 |
| Spread: Texas (-8.5) · Texas | 0.380 | 0.370 | $48.68 | −$1.32 |
| Spread: Thunder (-8.5) · Thunder | 0.532 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$81.25 |
| Cavaliers vs. Hawks · Cavaliers | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Texas vs. Florida Gators · Texas | 0.454 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$99.69 |
| Spread: Texas (-1.5) · Texas | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Chiefs vs. Cowboys · Chiefs | 0.656 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$139.37 |
| Spread: Raptors (-8.5) · Raptors | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Vanderbilt vs. Tennessee · Tennessee | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$150.00 |
| Will Texas win the 2026 College Football National Championship? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$491.96 |
| Texas vs. Ohio State · Texas | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$43.23 |
| Spread: Chiefs (-3.5) · Chiefs | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.456Texas A&M vs. Texas
- +$1.1kat 0.574Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?
- +$769.33at 0.464Will Texas win by 8 or more points?
- +$716.72at 0.357Ethereum above $2,400 on September 20?
- +$526.25at 0.531Will Texas beat Oklahoma by 15 or more points?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 00:13 | Spread: Texas (-6.5) | BUY | 0.4599999965 | $50.00 |
| 09-22 19:00 | Spread: Texas (-6.5) | BUY | 0.4699999988 | $50.00 |
| 09-22 16:55 | Spread: Texas (-0.5) | BUY | 0.6599999979 | $100.00 |
| 09-22 16:54 | Spread: Texas (-8.5) | BUY | 0.3799999982 | $50.00 |
| 09-22 16:53 | Spread: Texas (-6.5) | BUY | 0.4699999988 | $150.00 |
| 09-22 16:51 | Spread: Texas (-2.5) | BUY | 0.6299999989 | $100.00 |
| 09-22 16:51 | Spread: Texas (-0.5) | BUY | 0.6599999979 | $50.00 |
| 09-13 02:42 | Ohio State vs. Texas | BUY | 0.25 | $2.88 |
| 09-13 02:42 | Ohio State vs. Texas | BUY | 0.25 | $315.58 |
| 09-13 02:37 | Ohio State vs. Texas | SELL | 0.12 | $343.92 |
| 09-13 00:44 | Ohio State vs. Texas | BUY | 0.3599999999 | $224.69 |
| 09-13 00:43 | Ohio State vs. Texas | BUY | 0.3799999996 | $20.00 |
| 09-13 00:39 | Ohio State vs. Texas | BUY | 0.3799999996 | $20.00 |
| 09-13 00:38 | Ohio State vs. Texas | BUY | 0.3550996241 | $50.00 |
| 09-13 00:38 | Ohio State vs. Texas | BUY | 0.3543307064 | $50.00 |