0x8c973412602dc9dc817285553561c23223659b30
0x8c973412602dc9dc817285553561c23223659b30
- Realised P&L
- $-49.95
- Volume
- $4.4k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $22.88
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration28.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration90.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.179 | 0.090 | $20.79 | −$20.49 |
| Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.034 | $2.09 | −$2.91 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET · Down | 0.471 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET · Up | 0.459 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET · Down | 0.407 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$111.31 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET · Down | 0.063 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.05 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET · Down | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$181.88at 0.229Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$156.06at 0.407Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 21?
- +$137.72at 0.284Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
- +$87.66at 0.540Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
- +$45.01at 0.703Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-26 19:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET | BUY | 0.5499999993 | $40.00 |
| 07-26 19:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4715127684 | $100.00 |
| 07-26 19:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET | BUY | 0.1081726936 | $23.06 |
| 07-26 19:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET | BUY | 0.0517772157 | $65.71 |
| 07-26 19:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET | BUY | 0.106128 | $11.28 |
| 07-26 19:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET | BUY | 0.4073576343 | $111.31 |
| 07-26 19:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET | BUY | 0.4591336139 | $100.00 |
| 07-26 19:06 | Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1787012425 | $41.28 |
| 07-26 19:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET | BUY | 0.2599999966 | $50.00 |
| 07-26 18:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5027190728 | $95.86 |
| 07-20 23:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 24? | BUY | 0.3792415154 | $100.00 |
| 07-20 12:47 | Ethereum Up or Down on July 20? | BUY | 0.4464236982 | $100.00 |
| 07-20 08:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4AM ET | BUY | 0.6605736127 | $100.00 |
| 07-20 08:31 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 21? | BUY | 0.3799999987 | $100.00 |
| 07-13 00:38 | President Trump to Attend World Cup Final? | BUY | 0.08 | $4.72 |