0x8c85652b87734a0349d32af90f368f0c4497da89
0x8c85652b87734a0349d32af90f368f0c4497da89
- Realised P&L
- $-131.39
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 81
- Open portfolio
- $0.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded81
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Itagui Leones FC win on 2026-09-28? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.001 | $0.02 | −$5.98 |
| Will Belgium vs. France end in a draw? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.92at 0.819Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?
- +$26.03at 0.360Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
- +$10.81at 0.641Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
- +$7.08at 0.721Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
- +$5.23at 0.636Will Denmark win on 2026-09-27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 20:46 | Will Itagui Leones FC win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.1299999976 | $6.00 |
| 09-28 20:34 | Will Belgium vs. France end in a draw? | BUY | 0.6599999979 | $50.00 |
| 09-28 20:33 | Will France win on 2026-09-28? | SELL | 0.25 | $3.98 |
| 09-28 20:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 09-28 20:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $2.82 |
| 09-28 20:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET | BUY | 0.699999965 | $2.00 |
| 09-28 20:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $2.00 |
| 09-28 20:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET | BUY | 0.7899999289 | $2.00 |
| 09-28 20:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET | SELL | 0.17 | $0.67 |
| 09-28 20:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999516 | $2.00 |
| 09-28 20:05 | Will France win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.4399999975 | $7.00 |
| 09-28 13:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 13:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 13:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | SELL | 0.27 | $1.04 |
| 09-28 13:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |