AJ19851985
0x8c824f183ef5cdfae020594e5ae2c87046114e09
- Realised P&L
- $-6.2k
- Volume
- $497.1k
- Markets traded
- 198
- Open portfolio
- $447.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded198
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.4kat 0.776Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
- +$1.5kat 0.538Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
- +$1.1kat 0.291Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$636.46at 0.928Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
- +$545.00at 0.340Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 12:13 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.131 | $13.10 |
| 07-24 20:12 | Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.030915685 | $137.26 |
| 04-09 09:56 | Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Alexander Blockx vs Alex de Minaur | BUY | 0.26 | $3.13 |
| 04-09 09:53 | Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander Bublik | BUY | 0.46 | $97.92 |
| 04-09 09:47 | Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Anhelina Kalinina vs Donna Vekic | BUY | 0.57 | $147.15 |
| 04-09 09:46 | Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Casper Ruud | BUY | 0.39 | $93.93 |
| 04-09 09:45 | Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Karolina Pliskova vs Ekaterina Alexandrova | BUY | 0.73 | $251.36 |
| 04-09 09:44 | Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Lilli Tagger vs Liudmila Samsonova | BUY | 0.46 | $97.92 |
| 04-07 09:45 | Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Jaqueline Cristian vs Tamara Korpatsch | BUY | 0.67 | $242.99 |
| 04-07 09:43 | Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Dayana Yastremska vs Ann Li | BUY | 0.42 | $101.35 |
| 04-04 11:28 | Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Alexander Shevchenko vs Andrea Pellegrino | BUY | 0.41 | $96.89 |
| 04-04 11:26 | Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Damir Dzumhur vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | BUY | 0.46 | $97.92 |
| 04-04 11:26 | Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Jan Choinski vs Alexandre Muller | BUY | 0.49 | $95.00 |
| 04-04 11:25 | Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Benjamin Bonzi vs Roberto Bautista Agut | BUY | 0.17105 | $32.51 |
| 04-04 11:24 | Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Francesco Maestrelli vs Alexander Blockx | BUY | 0.39 | $93.93 |