PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x8c803a3fc56B2BBee22fD126E9fb0D40f6651A6B-1770288655013

0x8c803a3fc56b2bbee22fd126e9fb0d40f6651a6b

Realised P&L
$27.98
Volume
$12.9k
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$656.64

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by September 30? · No0.9920.990$258.25$0.48
Trump out as President by September 30? · No0.9890.995$242.57+$1.42
China x Japan military clash before 2027? · No0.9400.945$155.82+$0.82

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-11 18:47Trump out as President by September 30?BUY0.991$49.55
09-10 16:26Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by September 30?BUY0.991$49.55
09-10 16:24Trump out as President by September 30?BUY0.99$99.00
09-09 11:20Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 10?BUY0.999$4.5k
09-09 11:17Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by September 30?BUY0.9917422$99.17
09-08 18:09China x Japan military clash before 2027?BUY0.9399999887$5.00
09-04 08:49Trump out as President by September 30?BUY0.9859999999$92.60
09-04 08:48Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by September 30?BUY0.9922977576$110.00
09-04 08:48China x Japan military clash before 2027?BUY0.9399999939$150.00
07-30 06:44Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?BUY0.9899658632$348.00
06-01 12:58Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?BUY0.9859999998$57.00
06-01 12:57Netanyahu out by June 30?BUY0.9839999912$105.00
06-01 12:56Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?BUY0.9786174881$150.00
05-29 09:20Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?BUY0.994$135.12
05-29 09:15Starmer out by May 31, 2026?BUY0.9921941781$125.00