0x8c803a3fc56B2BBee22fD126E9fb0D40f6651A6B-1770288655013
0x8c803a3fc56b2bbee22fd126e9fb0d40f6651a6b
- Realised P&L
- $27.98
- Volume
- $12.9k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $656.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by September 30? · No | 0.992 | 0.990 | $258.25 | −$0.48 |
| Trump out as President by September 30? · No | 0.989 | 0.995 | $242.57 | +$1.42 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027? · No | 0.940 | 0.945 | $155.82 | +$0.82 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.18at 0.999Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 10?
- +$3.53at 0.990Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?
- +$3.28at 0.979Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?
- +$2.35at 0.999Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 11?
- +$2.30at 0.999Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 18:47 | Trump out as President by September 30? | BUY | 0.991 | $49.55 |
| 09-10 16:26 | Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by September 30? | BUY | 0.991 | $49.55 |
| 09-10 16:24 | Trump out as President by September 30? | BUY | 0.99 | $99.00 |
| 09-09 11:20 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 10? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.5k |
| 09-09 11:17 | Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by September 30? | BUY | 0.9917422 | $99.17 |
| 09-08 18:09 | China x Japan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.9399999887 | $5.00 |
| 09-04 08:49 | Trump out as President by September 30? | BUY | 0.9859999999 | $92.60 |
| 09-04 08:48 | Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by September 30? | BUY | 0.9922977576 | $110.00 |
| 09-04 08:48 | China x Japan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.9399999939 | $150.00 |
| 07-30 06:44 | Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9899658632 | $348.00 |
| 06-01 12:58 | Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.9859999998 | $57.00 |
| 06-01 12:57 | Netanyahu out by June 30? | BUY | 0.9839999912 | $105.00 |
| 06-01 12:56 | Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30? | BUY | 0.9786174881 | $150.00 |
| 05-29 09:20 | Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31? | BUY | 0.994 | $135.12 |
| 05-29 09:15 | Starmer out by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9921941781 | $125.00 |