PolyBot

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Traders

0x8C7B26969470BD87494B5d406C3e84256D102a87-1762399744083

0x8c7b26969470bd87494b5d406c3e84256d102a87

Realised P&L
$12.1k
Volume
$581.0k
Markets traded
131
Open portfolio
$39.42

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded131
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration52.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.1890.085$17.00−$20.90
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Yes0.4560.075$14.01−$71.23
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? · Yes0.2990.007$8.23−$343.33
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4100.035$0.18−$1.87
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31? · Yes0.6810.000$0.00−$553.88
Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31? · Yes0.1370.000$0.00−$3.2k
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? · Yes0.2490.000$0.00−$303.16
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee in 2025? · Yes0.0710.000$0.00−$167.45
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by December 31? · Yes0.1850.000$0.00−$169.03
Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.4750.000$0.00−$2.8k
Will Maduro's rule survive a US military engagement? · Yes0.3210.000$0.00−$144.65
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025? · Yes0.1610.000$0.00−$237.81
Nicolas Sarkozy in jail by March 31? · Yes0.1030.000$0.00−$187.15
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? · Yes0.7950.000$0.00−$3.2k
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? · Yes0.3360.000$0.00−$1.4k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-09 16:00Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?SELL0.99$11.1k
12-05 15:43Will RFK end Hepatitis B vaccine recommendation in 2025?BUY0.1602780478$16.49
12-05 15:42Will RFK end Hepatitis B vaccine recommendation in 2025?BUY0.1146374761$358.23
12-05 06:34Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?BUY0.3486458333$33.47
12-05 06:33Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?BUY0.3303683824$44.93
12-05 06:33Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?BUY0.3258015267$149.38
12-05 04:58Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?BUY0.2956591819$185.26
12-05 04:48Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?BUY0.2487620337$303.16
12-05 04:01Will Maduro's rule survive a US military engagement?BUY0.3208559768$144.65
12-05 03:34Will Comcast acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?SELL0.0241898377$6.35
12-05 03:33Will Netflix acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?BUY0.5066071772$31.62
12-05 03:33Will Netflix acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?BUY0.4951071886$65.77
12-05 03:33Will Netflix acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?BUY0.499$29.94
12-04 03:39U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?BUY0.5283330555$63.39
12-03 02:35Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?SELL0.0645369661$175.28