Slider26
0x8c77f05146e51767ae3ee5cb67fb7a81c8414d42
- Realised P&L
- $14.9k
- Volume
- $1.96M
- Markets traded
- 45
- Open portfolio
- $6.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded45
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample47 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.663 | 0.633 | $6.6k | −$313.42 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.245 | $27.36 | −$6.14 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · No | 0.051 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.4k |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · No | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.5k |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? · Yes | 0.169 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.4k |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$56.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.2kat 0.337Knicks vs. Spurs
- +$4.2kat 0.826Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
- +$3.8kat 0.799Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
- +$2.4kat 0.756Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
- +$2.1kat 0.821Cleveland Guardians vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 23:33 | Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6659746693 | $2.7k |
| 11-01 23:25 | Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.661 | $2.9k |
| 11-01 22:27 | Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.661 | $661.00 |
| 11-01 06:05 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2999999991 | $33.50 |
| 10-28 00:47 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.4692092838 | $8.5k |
| 10-27 23:51 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.44 | $9.7k |
| 10-27 23:32 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.42 | $941.72 |
| 08-20 08:25 | Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | BUY | 0.8024370434 | $186.73 |
| 08-20 08:24 | Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | BUY | 0.8009336998 | $11.7k |
| 08-20 08:24 | Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | BUY | 0.8596285929 | $6.9k |
| 08-12 04:07 | Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.862 | $137.91 |
| 08-12 03:55 | Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.7911539327 | $8.5k |
| 08-12 02:36 | Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? | SELL | 0.35 | $601.13 |
| 06-17 21:21 | Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.14 | $56.00 |
| 06-17 11:31 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $2.00 |