Tony72
0x8c777704e2f61da4cae118008d877cceb322af46
- Realised P&L
- $-5.5k
- Volume
- $315.3k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $1.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.715 | $1.2k | +$108.33 |
| Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.964 | 0.977 | $293.10 | +$3.90 |
| Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.002 | $224.87 | −$370.49 |
| Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.035 | 0.024 | $7.20 | −$3.29 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$705.82at 0.393Will Fine Gael win the most seats in the 2024 Irish general election?
- +$421.50at 0.772Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?
- +$96.07at 0.791Mavericks vs. Timberwolves
- +$67.33at 0.6102026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
- +$41.08at 0.977Will a Republican win the popular vote and a Democrat win the Presidency?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 10:46 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.65 | $1.1k |
| 10-26 10:45 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | SELL | 0.65 | $1.1k |
| 10-26 10:43 | Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.03496 | $10.49 |
| 10-26 10:42 | Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.964 | $289.20 |
| 09-20 08:32 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.5999999999 | $1.0k |
| 07-30 06:32 | Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.006 | $108.00 |
| 04-23 00:31 | Will Fridolin Ambongo Besungu be the next pope? | BUY | 0.9706403012 | $242.00 |
| 04-23 00:30 | Will Robert Sarah be the next pope? | BUY | 0.963 | $240.76 |
| 04-23 00:30 | Will Peter Turkson be the next pope? | BUY | 0.934 | $233.50 |
| 04-23 00:30 | Will the next Pope be from Africa? | BUY | 0.1299599847 | $32.48 |
| 04-23 00:22 | Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope? | BUY | 0.749 | $65.16 |
| 04-23 00:18 | Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope? | BUY | 0.734 | $105.70 |
| 04-23 00:17 | Will the next Pope be from Asia? | BUY | 0.2599999977 | $60.00 |
| 04-23 00:16 | Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope? | SELL | 0.9038078463 | $1.5k |
| 04-22 19:04 | Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope? | BUY | 0.935 | $112.20 |