Tony72
0x8c777704e2f61da4cae118008d877cceb322af46
- Realised P&L
- $-5.4k
- Volume
- $310.5k
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $744.44
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.005 | $744.44 | +$143.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$705.82at 0.393Will Fine Gael win the most seats in the 2024 Irish general election?
- +$421.50at 0.772Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?
- +$96.07at 0.791Mavericks vs. Timberwolves
- +$41.08at 0.977Will a Republican win the popular vote and a Democrat win the Presidency?
- +$24.00at 0.931Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 06:32 | Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.006 | $108.00 |
| 04-23 00:31 | Will Fridolin Ambongo Besungu be the next pope? | BUY | 0.9706403012 | $242.00 |
| 04-23 00:30 | Will Robert Sarah be the next pope? | BUY | 0.963 | $240.76 |
| 04-23 00:30 | Will Peter Turkson be the next pope? | BUY | 0.934 | $233.50 |
| 04-23 00:30 | Will the next Pope be from Africa? | BUY | 0.1299599847 | $32.48 |
| 04-23 00:22 | Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope? | BUY | 0.749 | $65.16 |
| 04-23 00:18 | Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope? | BUY | 0.734 | $105.70 |
| 04-23 00:17 | Will the next Pope be from Asia? | BUY | 0.2599999977 | $60.00 |
| 04-23 00:16 | Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope? | SELL | 0.9038078463 | $1.5k |
| 04-22 19:04 | Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope? | BUY | 0.935 | $112.20 |
| 04-22 19:04 | Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope? | BUY | 0.7489999934 | $90.00 |
| 04-22 19:04 | Will the next Pope be from Asia? | BUY | 0.25 | $30.00 |
| 04-22 19:01 | Will the next Pope be from Asia? | BUY | 0.25 | $75.00 |
| 04-22 19:00 | Will Malcolm Ranjith be the next pope? | SELL | 0.995 | $320.83 |
| 04-22 19:00 | Will Malcolm Ranjith be the next pope? | BUY | 0.997 | $122.08 |