qhdgvquy
0x8c68faa1fb0be17b498c2853e8f3c6d1a44b02b2
- Realised P&L
- $-324.58
- Volume
- $5.5k
- Markets traded
- 143
- Open portfolio
- $22.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded143
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? · Yes | 0.548 | 1.000 | $16.79 | +$7.59 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No | 0.800 | 0.978 | $4.89 | +$0.89 |
| Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.122 | 0.050 | $1.07 | −$1.58 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$65.49at 0.497Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
- +$53.47at 0.457Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
- +$45.81at 0.375Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
- +$42.48at 0.569Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
- +$23.26at 0.579Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-14 20:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET | SELL | 0.6 | $5.45 |
| 04-14 20:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5299999692 | $4.65 |
| 04-14 20:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET | SELL | 0.29 | $3.10 |
| 04-14 20:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $2.52 |
| 04-14 19:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET | SELL | 0.44 | $5.01 |
| 04-14 19:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.4199999646 | $4.57 |
| 04-14 19:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET | SELL | 0.55 | $4.91 |
| 04-14 19:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5399999935 | $4.66 |
| 04-14 19:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.4299999719 | $3.52 |
| 04-14 19:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5799999698 | $4.69 |
| 04-14 19:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $5.22 |
| 04-14 19:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET | BUY | 0.4499999865 | $4.59 |
| 04-14 19:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999813 | $4.82 |
| 04-14 19:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $4.63 |
| 04-14 19:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET | SELL | 0.34 | $4.89 |