0x8c67d4d0128afceb867ad103f114c76e3f42a13a
0x8c67d4d0128afceb867ad103f114c76e3f42a13a
- Realised P&L
- $18.52
- Volume
- $138.97
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $2.82
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar13.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration74.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)73.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 15? · Yes | 0.281 | 0.350 | $2.82 | +$0.55 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.55at 0.052Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $255 on October 13?
- +$2.88at 0.625Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)
- +$1.07at 0.525Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?
- +$0.54at 0.231Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 15?
- +$0.50at 0.704Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 04:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 15? | SELL | 0.3 | $1.54 |
| 10-15 02:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 15? | SELL | 0.3 | $3.10 |
| 10-15 02:37 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October? | SELL | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 02:28 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 15? | BUY | 0.239999966 | $1.13 |
| 10-15 02:28 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October? | BUY | 0.14 | $0.70 |
| 10-15 02:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 15? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.13 |
| 10-15 02:24 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 15? | BUY | 0.2199999844 | $1.13 |
| 10-15 02:24 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 15? | BUY | 0.239999966 | $1.13 |
| 10-15 02:23 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 15? | BUY | 0.3399999165 | $1.14 |
| 10-14 21:04 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.27 |
| 10-14 21:04 | Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-14? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.57 |
| 10-14 18:52 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.509999956 | $1.16 |
| 10-14 18:51 | Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.18 |
| 10-14 18:34 | FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. AEK: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5299998172 | $1.16 |
| 10-14 16:12 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.6899996638 | $1.17 |