theanalys
0x8c643b70f7a81d14dc86e238ea28b40d8a2a4e93
- Realised P&L
- $770.51
- Volume
- $67.8k
- Markets traded
- 59
- Open portfolio
- $112.57
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded59
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October? · Yes | 0.772 | 0.635 | $39.50 | −$8.50 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? · Yes | 0.324 | 0.205 | $25.63 | −$14.87 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October? · Yes | 0.109 | 0.065 | $22.42 | −$15.12 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.145 | $19.57 | −$7.42 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.038 | $5.20 | −$5.60 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.001 | $0.19 | −$9.81 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? · Yes | 0.146 | 0.001 | $0.07 | −$19.93 |
| Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22? · Yes | 0.028 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.20 |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-22? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$411.63at 0.410Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?
- +$392.27at 0.637Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March?
- +$150.71at 0.641Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
- +$144.65at 0.450Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
- +$98.91at 0.783Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 11:41 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October? | BUY | 0.7716405507 | $48.00 |
| 09-29 14:00 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.66 |
| 09-29 08:56 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? | BUY | 0.23 | $6.90 |
| 09-29 08:54 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October? | BUY | 0.13 | $5.85 |
| 09-29 08:50 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October? | BUY | 0.08 | $10.80 |
| 09-29 08:15 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October? | BUY | 0.128 | $19.20 |
| 09-27 18:13 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.14851485 | $10.00 |
| 09-27 18:13 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.1435324281 | $10.00 |
| 09-27 18:12 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? | BUY | 0.0268204552 | $10.00 |
| 09-24 19:35 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? | BUY | 0.052235077 | $9.06 |
| 09-15 20:28 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? | BUY | 0.5499999966 | $48.21 |
| 09-14 09:52 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? | BUY | 0.4699999936 | $32.28 |
| 09-14 09:52 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? | BUY | 0.786 | $39.29 |
| 07-07 12:50 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.027 | $33.05 |
| 07-05 13:46 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.353 | $134.20 |