jjass6
0x8c59b196d08817dea5dd9c9c868ab0e30c87dbd7
- Realised P&L
- $10.27
- Volume
- $77.1k
- Markets traded
- 112
- Open portfolio
- $61.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded112
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in September? · No | 0.998 | 1.000 | $22.00 | +$0.04 |
| Will Ethereum hit $4k by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.575 | $14.38 | +$3.13 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in September? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $13.00 | +$0.01 |
| Will BNB dip to $200 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.955 | 0.970 | $12.61 | +$0.19 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $106,000 October 20-26? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.75 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET · Up | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET · Up | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.21at 0.508Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?
- +$15.33at 0.617Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$13.00at 0.740Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$7.99at 0.670Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$6.20at 0.995Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 19:14 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.99 |
| 09-22 19:14 | Will BNB dip to $200 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9553076923 | $12.42 |
| 09-22 19:13 | Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in September? | BUY | 0.998 | $21.96 |
| 09-22 19:12 | Will Ethereum hit $4k by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.45 | $11.25 |
| 08-24 19:03 | Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in August? | BUY | 0.989 | $14.83 |
| 08-24 19:02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August? | BUY | 0.99 | $11.87 |
| 08-24 19:02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 06-19 14:32 | Will BNB reach $1,000 in June? | BUY | 0.997 | $11.96 |
| 06-19 14:32 | Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in June? | BUY | 0.997 | $11.96 |
| 06-19 14:30 | Solana all time high by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $54.78 |
| 06-19 14:30 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $24.00 |
| 06-19 14:09 | Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $8.99 |
| 06-19 14:09 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.979 | $10.77 |
| 05-06 14:57 | Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $8.98 |
| 05-06 14:56 | Will Ethereum dip to $600 in May? | BUY | 0.997 | $21.93 |