degenm
0x8c58ca0aa244274d589cbd502167983d4c1de330
- Realised P&L
- $16.6k
- Volume
- $1.60M
- Markets traded
- 2,698
- Open portfolio
- $5.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded2,698
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration28.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5) · Seattle Mariners | 0.830 | 1.000 | $5.00 | +$0.85 |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 11.5 · Over | 0.400 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5) · Los Angeles Angels | 0.680 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$3.40 |
| Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5 · Over | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$89.95 |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jays · Los Angeles Angels | 0.196 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.05 |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5 · Over | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.00 |
| Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5) · Miami Marlins | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.16 |
| Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5) · Los Angeles Angels | 0.093 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.90 |
| Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5) · Detroit Tigers | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$71.41 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers · Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.124 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$96.30 |
| Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) · Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.471 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.20 |
| Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 9.5 · Over | 0.185 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.94 |
| Louisville vs. Ole Miss · Louisville | 0.318 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$61.58 |
| Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5) · New York Yankees | 0.720 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.56 |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5 · Over | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.7kat 0.392Canucks vs. Sharks
- +$4.5kat 0.274Blue Jackets vs. Panthers
- +$4.5kat 0.333Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)
- +$4.4kat 0.241Stars vs. Wild: O/U 6.5
- +$3.6kat 0.609Lightning vs. Sabres
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 03:17 | Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 11.5 | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 02:19 | Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5) | BUY | 0.68 | $3.40 |
| 09-17 02:09 | Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5) | BUY | 0.83 | $4.15 |
| 09-17 01:35 | Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5) | BUY | 0.309375 | $4.95 |
| 09-17 01:35 | Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5) | BUY | 0.83 | $5.83 |
| 09-17 00:42 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals | BUY | 0.08 | $17.84 |
| 09-16 23:51 | Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5) | BUY | 0.0685 | $0.69 |
| 09-16 23:30 | Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets | BUY | 0.6150255728 | $98.91 |
| 09-16 00:15 | Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians | BUY | 0.1899999996 | $65.52 |
| 09-16 00:14 | Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians | BUY | 0.84 | $67.20 |
| 09-16 00:01 | Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians | BUY | 0.3 | $13.50 |
| 09-15 23:42 | Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5) | BUY | 0.84 | $6.12 |
| 09-15 23:42 | Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5) | BUY | 0.1699999993 | $18.54 |
| 09-15 22:58 | Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5) | BUY | 0.52 | $2.60 |
| 09-15 22:58 | Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5) | BUY | 0.64 | $3.20 |